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Qual 252025 FNC District Wake County Event
Red26
322920.6
90039.3
264220.8
Blue81
345918.3
486133.0
516022.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7554020401001201402681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+41
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +45
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
8Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
26Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#2
39.34.4
30.3→25.8
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
red by 6.3
4861
#3
33.01.8
21.4→23.2
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Second
2642
#23
20.84.4
23.9→19.5
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
blue by 2.0
5160
#20
22.93.0
13.9→16.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
Third
3229
#11
20.64.4
11.8→7.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
red by 2.3
3459
#16
18.33.0
15.7→18.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned