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Red64
560711.7
1007215.2
875812.7
Blue106
591915.2
264220.8
486133.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21650408010012014064106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+30
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +30
8Coral scored#16
30Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
48Total teleop78
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
64Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.22.0
8.010.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 17.8
33.02.0
23.225.2
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Second
8758
#14
12.72.0
8.610.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 8.1
2642
#23
20.83.4
19.522.9
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
Third
5607
#29
11.72.0
6.38.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
blue by 3.5
5919
#17
15.23.4
11.915.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned