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Red20
97887.8
55187.8
345918.3
Blue36
978915.1
1026014.7
51908.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333401020405060702036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
2Coral scored#3
8Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
8Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points8
20Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3459
#16
18.31.4
18.717.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.4
red by 3.2
15.10.2
13.213.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Second
5518
#13
7.81.4
5.54.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 6.8
14.70.2
8.58.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Third
9788
#32
7.81.4
8.57.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 0.3
5190
#30
8.00.2
8.48.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed