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Red49
1007215.2
322920.6
205931.9
Blue5
875812.7
51908.0
690810.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78602040100120495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +26
5Coral scored#0
18Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
26Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#0
1L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
18Foul points0
49Total score5

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.94.0
25.621.6
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
red by 19.2
8758
#14
12.75.4
16.911.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Second
3229
#11
20.64.0
23.619.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
red by 9.9
6908
#21
10.75.4
15.29.8
Auto1.8
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Third
15.29.5
23.313.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 7.2
5190
#30
8.05.4
21.716.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed