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Red100
205931.9
90039.3
903231.6
Blue15
33499.4
62403.7
48168.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8311020406010012014016010015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+87Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave3
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
19Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +71
18Coral scored#2
65Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
79Total teleop8
Reef
8L4#1
5L3#1
5L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
100Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#2
39.33.4
25.829.2
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
red by 29.9
3349
#22
9.40.4
7.16.7
Auto0.6
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Second
31.93.4
24.828.2
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
red by 23.8
4816
#26
8.00.4
6.86.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Third
31.63.4
19.022.3
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
red by 27.9
6240
#31
3.70.4
4.74.3
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed