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Red60
516022.9
43510.2
874616.2
Blue108
1030216.7
479547.9
322920.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41630208010012060108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +39
11Coral scored#17
41Coral points60
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
49Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
60Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#20
22.92.0
16.918.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
blue by 25.1
47.93.2
41.044.2
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
Second
8746
#10
16.22.0
11.613.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End0.8
blue by 4.4
3229
#11
20.65.4
7.312.7
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Third
435
#28
10.22.0
11.313.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 6.5
16.75.4
8.313.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed