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Red50
1012111.7
873835.3
551115.4
Blue28
264220.8
51908.0
744314.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69490204060801001205028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
5Coral scored#3
17Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
25Total teleop11
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
12Foul points2
50Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.32.8
33.931.1
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
red by 14.4
2642
#23
20.82.5
22.920.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
Second
5511
#15
15.42.8
12.910.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 1.2
7443
#27
14.22.5
14.211.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Third
11.72.8
13.710.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.4
red by 3.7
5190
#30
8.02.5
8.25.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed