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Red67
90039.3
591915.2
345918.3
Blue57
560711.7
903231.6
76718.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7543020601001201401606757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
6Coral scored#7
23Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
37Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
67Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#2
39.30.6
29.229.8
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
red by 7.7
31.61.9
22.324.2
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
Second
3459
#16
18.30.6
17.317.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.4
red by 6.6
5607
#29
11.71.9
8.310.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
Third
5919
#17
15.20.6
15.215.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
red by 6.3
7671
#25
8.91.9
9.211.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed