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Red63
486133.0
97887.8
205931.9
Blue67
1026014.7
479547.9
874616.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65714060801001206367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+8
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
45Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
63Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.2
25.225.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
blue by 14.9
47.90.1
44.244.3
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
Second
31.90.3
28.228.5
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
red by 15.7
8746
#10
16.20.1
13.513.7
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Third
9788
#32
7.80.3
7.17.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 6.9
14.70.1
8.28.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed