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Red44
809013.1
62403.7
904211.6
Blue58
516022.9
48168.0
322920.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643060801001201404458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +33
2Coral scored#8
8Coral points29
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
12Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
22Foul points0
44Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8090
#12
13.10.3
11.611.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 9.8
5160
#20
22.92.2
18.921.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
Second
9042
#24
11.60.5
10.29.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 9.0
3229
#11
20.62.2
12.714.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Third
6240
#31
3.70.5
4.33.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 4.4
4816
#26
8.02.2
6.48.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed