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Red85
874616.2
690810.7
486133.0
Blue41
55187.8
560711.7
591915.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55350204060801008541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+30Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
11Coral scored#4
39Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
53Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#1
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#7
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
85Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.7
25.427.1
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
red by 17.8
5919
#17
15.20.3
15.816.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Second
8746
#10
16.22.8
13.716.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End0.8
red by 4.5
5607
#29
11.70.3
10.210.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
Third
6908
#21
10.72.8
5.48.2
Auto1.8
Teleop7.2
End1.6
red by 2.9
5518
#13
7.80.3
4.14.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed