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Red41
264220.8
97887.8
904211.6
Blue86
873835.3
809013.1
205931.9
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3582020601001201404186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+29
Endgame+33
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
4Coral scored#7
16Coral points25
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
30Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points12
41Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#23
20.80.4
20.420.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
blue by 14.4
35.30.3
31.131.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
Second
9042
#24
11.60.4
9.710.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 20.3
31.90.3
28.528.8
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Third
9788
#32
7.80.4
7.47.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 5.3
8090
#12
13.10.2
11.311.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed