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Red95
1012111.7
875812.7
479547.9
Blue60
43510.2
903231.6
51908.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7643020601001201409560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+33Teleop
+31Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
14Coral scored#7
51Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
69Total teleop32
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#4
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points8
95Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.8
44.345.1
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
red by 16.4
31.60.5
24.224.7
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
Second
8758
#14
12.71.4
9.610.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 2.5
435
#28
10.20.5
12.212.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Third
11.71.3
10.912.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.4
red by 3.7
5190
#30
8.00.5
5.76.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed