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Red46
345918.3
551115.4
1026014.7
Blue39
978915.1
62403.7
1030216.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422802060801004639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
6Coral scored#6
21Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
33Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
46Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3459
#16
18.30.4
17.918.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.4
red by 1.7
16.70.6
12.613.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Second
5511
#15
15.40.4
10.110.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 0.3
15.10.6
11.812.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
14.70.4
8.48.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 11.0
6240
#31
3.70.6
3.94.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed