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Qual 422025 FNC District Wake County Event
Red38
55187.8
516022.9
1007215.2
Blue81
33499.4
744314.2
90039.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375302060801001201403881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
26Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
38Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#20
22.90.4
21.1→21.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
blue by 16.4
900
#2
39.33.5
29.8→33.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
Second
10072
#18
15.20.4
8.8→9.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 1.0
7443
#27
14.23.8
11.8→15.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Third
5518
#13
7.80.4
4.4→4.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 1.5
3349
#22
9.43.5
5.5→9.0
Auto0.6
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed