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Red41
264220.8
978915.1
809013.1
Blue32
51908.0
560711.7
1012111.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54310204060801001204132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
30Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
41Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#23
20.80.3
20.820.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
red by 9.1
11.70.3
12.212.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Second
15.10.3
12.312.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
red by 3.4
5607
#29
11.70.3
10.510.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
Third
8090
#12
13.10.2
11.511.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 5.1
5190
#30
8.00.3
6.26.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed