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Red60
516022.9
33499.4
1026014.7
Blue28
874616.2
591915.2
97887.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424501001502002503006028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+32Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#3
34Coral points10
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
46Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
8Foul points0
60Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#20
22.91.2
21.522.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
red by 6.7
8746
#10
16.21.3
16.515.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Second
14.71.2
8.710.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
blue by 0.5
5919
#17
15.21.2
16.115.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Third
3349
#22
9.41.2
9.010.2
Auto0.6
Teleop7.7
End1.1
red by 1.6
9788
#32
7.81.2
7.86.6
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed