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Qual 462025 FNC District Wake County Event
Red42
76718.9
486133.0
62403.7
Blue72
1030216.7
1007215.2
90039.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486602040801001201404272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
30Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points0
42Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4861
#3
33.00.1
27.1→27.0
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
blue by 6.3
900
#2
39.31.6
33.3→34.9
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
Second
7671
#25
8.90.1
9.2→9.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 7.8
10302
#19
16.71.6
13.2→14.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Third
6240
#31
3.70.1
4.5→4.4
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 11.6
10072
#18
15.21.6
9.2→10.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed