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Red63
322920.6
345918.3
903231.6
Blue64
690810.7
205931.9
551115.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70552040801001206364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
41Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points6
63Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.2
24.724.5
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
blue by 0.3
31.90.6
28.829.4
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Second
3229
#11
20.60.2
17.717.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
red by 5.2
5511
#15
15.40.6
10.911.4
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Third
3459
#16
18.30.2
18.218.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.4
red by 7.6
6908
#21
10.70.6
9.410.0
Auto1.8
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed