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Red39
1026014.7
62403.7
1007215.2
Blue35
264220.8
1012111.7
76718.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255204060801001203935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
24Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
39Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.21.2
10.812.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 5.6
2642
#23
20.81.2
20.419.2
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
Second
14.71.2
10.011.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 3.0
11.71.2
12.511.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Third
6240
#31
3.71.2
4.45.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 5.2
7671
#25
8.91.2
9.18.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed