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Red107
903231.6
809013.1
486133.0
Blue46
97887.8
43510.2
690810.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74250406010012014010746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+57Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +37
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
71Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
6Foul points2
107Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.9
27.029.0
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
red by 22.3
6908
#21
10.70.4
10.010.4
Auto1.8
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Second
31.62.6
24.527.1
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
red by 21.4
435
#28
10.20.4
10.911.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Third
8090
#12
13.11.9
10.112.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 5.3
9788
#32
7.80.4
6.67.0
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed