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Red77
48168.0
90039.3
551115.4
Blue71
591915.2
516022.9
875812.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625802040801001201407771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
59Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
77Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#2
39.31.1
34.936.0
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
red by 16.4
5160
#20
22.90.6
22.723.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
Second
5511
#15
15.41.1
11.412.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 0.2
5919
#17
15.20.6
15.015.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Third
4816
#26
8.01.1
6.67.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 4.6
8758
#14
12.70.6
11.111.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed