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Red24
51908.0
874616.2
33499.4
Blue54
322920.6
978915.1
904211.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33490204060801001201402454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+40
Endgame+42
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +19
0Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
0Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +21
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
8Total teleop29
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
12Foul points0
24Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8746
#10
16.21.8
15.513.7
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End0.8
blue by 4.4
3229
#11
20.61.0
17.418.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Second
3349
#22
9.41.8
10.28.4
Auto0.6
Teleop7.7
End1.1
blue by 5.7
15.11.0
12.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
5190
#30
8.01.8
6.54.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
blue by 3.6
9042
#24
11.61.0
12.913.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed