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Red89
873835.3
1030216.7
264220.8
Blue87
1007215.2
479547.9
744314.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77810501001502008987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
69Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
89Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.31.3
34.035.3
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
blue by 12.7
47.90.6
47.047.7
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
Second
2642
#23
20.81.2
19.220.5
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
red by 5.6
15.20.7
12.012.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Third
16.71.3
14.716.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.0
red by 2.5
7443
#27
14.20.8
13.614.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed