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Red36
1012111.7
903231.6
62403.7
Blue49
809013.1
76718.9
516022.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4745203040506070803649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
3Coral scored#9
9Coral points31
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
13Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
36Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.7
27.126.4
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
red by 8.7
5160
#20
22.90.5
23.423.8
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
Second
11.70.7
11.310.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.4
blue by 1.4
8090
#12
13.10.4
12.112.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Third
6240
#31
3.70.7
5.65.0
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 5.2
7671
#25
8.90.5
8.08.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed