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Red58
205931.9
51908.0
904211.6
Blue82
90039.3
875812.7
55187.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556502040801001201405882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+10
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
37Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points20
58Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.3
29.429.0
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
blue by 7.4
900
#2
39.30.2
36.035.8
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
Second
9042
#24
11.60.3
13.913.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 1.1
8758
#14
12.70.2
11.711.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
5190
#30
8.00.3
4.74.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
red by 0.2
5518
#13
7.80.2
7.67.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed