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Red112
479547.9
873835.3
591915.2
Blue70
690810.7
1026014.7
978915.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1182905010015020011270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
76Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
112Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.5
47.747.1
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
red by 32.8
15.11.4
13.014.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Second
35.30.7
35.334.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
red by 20.6
14.71.4
11.212.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Third
5919
#17
15.20.7
15.614.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
red by 4.5
6908
#21
10.71.4
10.411.8
Auto1.8
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed