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Red41
48168.0
345918.3
264220.8
Blue54
322920.6
874616.2
1012111.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564802040801001204154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+15
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
24Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#13
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
2Foul points0
41Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#23
20.80.5
20.519.9
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
red by 0.2
3229
#11
20.60.9
18.519.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Second
3459
#16
18.30.6
18.017.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.4
red by 2.1
8746
#10
16.20.9
13.714.6
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Third
4816
#26
8.00.6
7.67.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 3.6
11.70.8
10.711.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed