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Red44
76718.9
55187.8
978915.1
Blue29
690810.7
516022.9
62403.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364902060801001204429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
6Coral scored#3
20Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
26Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
2Foul points0
44Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.5
14.514.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
blue by 7.8
5160
#20
22.91.3
23.822.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
Second
7671
#25
8.90.5
8.48.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 1.8
6908
#21
10.71.3
11.810.5
Auto1.8
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Third
5518
#13
7.80.5
7.47.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
red by 4.2
6240
#31
3.71.3
5.03.7
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed