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Red13
744314.2
904211.6
43510.2
Blue101
90039.3
486133.0
1026014.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4395015013101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+78
Endgame+88
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +68
0Coral scored#13
0Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
0Total teleop68
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#3
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
0Foul points0
13Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7443
#27
14.22.2
14.412.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End1.9
blue by 25.1
900
#2
39.31.7
35.837.5
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
Second
9042
#24
11.62.0
13.611.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 21.4
33.01.5
29.731.2
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Third
435
#28
10.22.0
12.210.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 4.5
14.71.7
12.614.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned