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Red76
1030216.7
205931.9
591915.2
Blue72
875812.7
322920.6
97887.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8042020601001201407672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
52Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
4Foul points6
76Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.1
29.028.9
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
red by 11.3
3229
#11
20.61.0
19.420.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Second
16.70.1
16.116.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.0
red by 4.0
8758
#14
12.71.0
11.612.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
5919
#17
15.20.1
14.914.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
red by 7.4
9788
#32
7.81.0
6.87.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed