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Red72
479547.9
51908.0
48168.0
Blue82
873835.3
874616.2
345918.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6574020401001201407282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points48
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
43Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#7
5L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
72Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.9
47.148.0
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
red by 12.7
35.30.7
34.735.3
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
Second
4816
#26
8.01.0
7.18.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 10.3
3459
#16
18.30.8
17.418.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.4
Third
5190
#30
8.01.0
4.45.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
blue by 8.2
8746
#10
16.20.7
14.615.3
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed