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Red99
479547.9
55187.8
873835.3
Blue56
551115.4
809013.1
1030216.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108410501509956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+43Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#8
48Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
70Total teleop41
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
99Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.1
48.048.1
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
red by 31.3
16.70.2
16.016.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Second
35.30.1
35.335.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
red by 19.9
5511
#15
15.40.1
14.815.0
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Third
5518
#13
7.80.1
7.98.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 5.3
8090
#12
13.10.1
12.512.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End2.0