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Red72
903231.6
51908.0
205931.9
Blue49
690810.7
322920.6
1012111.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7744020601001201401607249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#4
28Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
38Total teleop22
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +23
12Foul points6
72Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.1
28.928.9
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
red by 11.3
3229
#11
20.60.0
20.420.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Second
31.60.1
28.928.8
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
red by 19.9
11.70.0
11.511.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Third
5190
#30
8.00.1
5.45.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
blue by 2.7
6908
#21
10.70.0
10.510.5
Auto1.8
Teleop7.2
End1.6