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Red102
744314.2
486133.0
90039.3
Blue77
479547.9
55187.8
873835.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910005015020010277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+9Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points9
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
64Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#3
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
102Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#2
39.30.4
38.739.1
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
blue by 8.7
47.90.3
48.347.9
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
Second
33.00.4
32.432.8
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
blue by 2.3
35.30.3
35.635.3
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
Third
7443
#27
14.20.4
13.614.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 6.3
5518
#13
7.80.4
8.27.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8