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Red61
591915.2
1026014.7
516022.9
Blue99
479547.9
55187.8
873835.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310701502006199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+36
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points47
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
45Total teleop77
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
61Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#20
22.90.2
22.722.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
blue by 25.1
47.90.2
48.148.3
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
Second
5919
#17
15.20.2
15.015.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
blue by 20.1
35.30.2
35.435.6
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
Third
14.70.2
14.514.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 6.8
5518
#13
7.80.2
8.08.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8