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Red102
903231.6
51908.0
205931.9
Blue91
744314.2
486133.0
90039.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66925015010291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+17Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
69Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points0
102Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.8
29.530.3
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
blue by 7.4
900
#2
39.30.2
38.638.7
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
Second
31.60.7
29.430.1
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
blue by 1.4
33.00.2
32.332.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Third
5190
#30
8.00.7
5.96.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
blue by 6.2
7443
#27
14.20.2
13.413.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End1.9