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Red65
591915.2
1026014.7
516022.9
Blue62
551115.4
809013.1
1030216.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655302040801001206562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
41Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
65Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#20
22.90.0
22.722.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
red by 6.2
16.70.2
16.516.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Second
5919
#17
15.20.0
15.015.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
blue by 0.2
5511
#15
15.40.2
15.215.4
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Third
14.70.0
14.514.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 1.6
8090
#12
13.10.2
12.913.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End2.0