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Red106
479547.9
55187.8
873835.3
Blue58
560711.7
264220.8
874616.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10947010015010658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+44Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
87Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
106Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.3
47.848.1
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
red by 27.1
2642
#23
20.80.1
20.720.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
Second
35.30.3
35.235.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
red by 19.1
8746
#10
16.20.1
16.116.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Third
5518
#13
7.80.3
7.78.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 3.8
5607
#29
11.70.2
11.511.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0