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Red95
560711.7
264220.8
874616.2
Blue70
875812.7
978915.1
345918.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6158203040507080901009570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
78Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +25
2Foul points0
95Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#23
20.80.5
20.120.7
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
red by 2.5
3459
#16
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.4
Second
8746
#10
16.20.5
15.516.1
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End0.8
red by 1.1
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
5607
#29
11.70.6
10.911.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
blue by 1.0
8758
#14
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7