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Red83
479547.9
55187.8
873835.3
Blue103
903231.6
51908.0
205931.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026120408012014016083103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points44
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
6Processor points0
4Net points16
10Algae points16
59Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points14
83Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.2
48.147.8
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
red by 16.0
31.90.6
28.929.5
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Second
35.30.2
35.435.2
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
red by 3.7
31.60.6
28.829.4
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
Third
5518
#13
7.80.3
8.07.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 0.2
5190
#30
8.00.6
5.35.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0