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Red120
1017323.1
974528.6
327666.5
Blue65
265428.0
563821.2
704826.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947520406012014016012065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
14Coral scored#7
52Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
72Total teleop47
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
120Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.53.6
35.238.8
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End9.4
red by 38.5
2654
#39
28.00.2
21.621.5
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End5.7
Second
9745
#38
28.63.6
24.428.0
Auto6.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
red by 1.9
7048
#41
26.70.2
19.319.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End5.1
Third
23.12.9
21.924.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End5.3
red by 2.0
5638
#52
21.20.2
25.825.6
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed