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Red72
467434.4
302617.3
858623.9
Blue105
250019.5
329347.2
313427.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779220406010012014072105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+31
Endgame+21
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points39
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
52Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points12
72Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#18
34.40.7
31.430.7
Auto4.9
Teleop21.6
End7.8
blue by 12.8
47.20.2
36.837.1
Auto7.0
Teleop31.5
End8.7
Second
8586
#33
23.90.8
17.116.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.8
End4.0
blue by 3.9
3134
#15
27.80.3
24.024.2
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Third
3026
#49
17.30.8
23.422.5
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End2.4
blue by 2.3
2500
#37
19.50.3
20.720.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned