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Red37
250019.5
704826.7
302617.3
Blue69
563821.2
525336.7
423814.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7191204060801001201401603769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+40
Endgame+38
Fouls+32
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +40
3Coral scored#13
10Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
16Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#5
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points0
37Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7048
#41
26.72.6
19.116.6
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End5.1
blue by 10.0
5253
#14
36.70.7
31.430.7
Auto3.6
Teleop31.1
End2.0
Second
2500
#37
19.53.5
20.917.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End1.0
blue by 1.6
5638
#52
21.20.9
25.624.7
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.3
Third
3026
#49
17.33.5
22.519.0
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 3.1
4238
#48
14.20.9
20.319.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed