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Red113
327666.5
818821.4
957634.0
Blue109
757831.5
212954.8
313427.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099150100150200113109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
71Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#23
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
113Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.51.9
38.840.7
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End9.4
red by 11.7
2129
#13
54.82.9
35.938.8
Auto15.2
Teleop38.2
End1.4
Second
9576
#16
34.01.9
29.131.0
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End2.4
red by 2.5
7578
#45
31.52.9
19.922.8
Auto6.5
Teleop22.4
End2.6
Third
8188
#43
21.41.9
25.027.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End3.0
blue by 6.5
3134
#15
27.82.9
24.227.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed