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Red89
825527.8
327819.2
467434.4
Blue109
463225.4
327734.7
909242.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7579406010012089109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
61Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
12Foul points2
89Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#18
34.40.2
30.730.9
Auto4.9
Teleop21.6
End7.8
blue by 8.2
9092
#10
42.63.6
24.027.6
Auto9.9
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Second
8255
#44
27.80.3
19.820.1
Auto2.3
Teleop23.2
End2.3
blue by 6.9
3277
#12
34.72.6
30.933.5
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End1.5
Third
3278
#32
19.20.3
18.218.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
blue by 6.2
25.43.6
14.718.3
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned