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Red42
418127.4
327522.8
250019.5
Blue31
645317.8
422621.1
87727.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726602040801001201401604231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
5Coral scored#2
19Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
29Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points8
42Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4181
#11
27.41.9
25.823.9
Auto5.0
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 0.4
877
#24
27.03.8
17.613.8
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End4.3
Second
3275
#27
22.82.6
22.019.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
red by 1.7
4226
#42
21.13.8
24.120.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Third
2500
#37
19.52.6
17.414.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End1.0
red by 1.8
6453
#46
17.83.8
15.211.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed