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Red77
330020.7
448014.1
525336.7
Blue182
534842.7
767724.7
327666.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7811120406010012014016018077182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+81
Endgame+99
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +64
14Coral scored#28
52Coral points100
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
62Total teleop126
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#12
3L2#9
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points6
77Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5253
#14
36.71.2
30.729.5
Auto3.6
Teleop31.1
End2.0
blue by 29.8
66.57.0
40.747.7
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End9.4
Second
3300
#35
20.71.8
20.218.4
Auto2.6
Teleop13.4
End4.7
blue by 22.0
42.77.0
31.638.5
Auto7.2
Teleop29.3
End6.2
Third
4480
#50
14.11.8
19.017.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 10.6
7677
#23
24.77.0
22.929.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned