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Red45
818821.4
592911.9
825527.8
Blue47
645317.8
329818.9
546432.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695902040801001201404547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
32Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
45Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8255
#44
27.81.8
20.118.3
Auto2.3
Teleop23.2
End2.3
blue by 4.2
5464
#17
32.00.7
25.624.9
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Second
8188
#43
21.41.8
27.025.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End3.0
red by 2.5
3298
#31
18.90.5
16.416.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Third
5929
#51
11.91.8
14.412.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 5.9
6453
#46
17.80.7
11.410.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed