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Red72
1017323.1
467434.4
565822.8
Blue89
725735.7
250825.4
463225.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847940601001207289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+21
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
53Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
72Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#18
34.40.2
30.930.7
Auto4.9
Teleop21.6
End7.8
blue by 1.4
7257
#34
35.72.2
28.230.5
Auto6.9
Teleop22.7
End6.1
Second
23.10.2
23.223.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End5.3
blue by 2.3
2508
#26
25.42.2
22.524.7
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Third
5658
#47
22.80.3
20.320.0
Auto4.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 2.6
25.42.2
18.320.5
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed